高光谱大气红外探测仪(AIRS)反演大气不稳定度指数在强对流天气个例中的应用试验   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

刘辉  寿亦萱  漆成莉 《气象》2014,40(6):678-686

使用探空、NCEP-FNL,数据和高光谱分辨率大气垂直探测仪(AIRS)标准反演数据计算大气不稳定度指数,对2011年6月23日北京强对流天气发生前的本地及上游大气中不稳定能量进行分析研究。分析发现:利用08、14和20时探空数据计算的北京站不稳定度指数显示了在"6·23暴雨"过程发生前后北京上空不稳定能量变化,上游关键区无探空数据;利用NCEP和AIRS数据计算的不稳定度指数显示,强对流天气发生前,在北京的上游关键区大气处于极端不稳定状态(K指数大于40,SI指数小于一5),有利于强对流天气发生。文章的研究结果表明,探空数据时空分辨率较低,不利于监测强对流天气的发生;质量控制后AIRS数据计算的不稳定度指数可以监测对流天气的发生;空间分辨率较低的NCEP数据监测小范围大气不稳定层结能力较低。综上所述,AIRS反演产品具有弥补探空资料时空分辨率不足的优势,利用AIRS L2反演产品计算晴空大气不稳定度指数产品可以监测到"6·23暴雨"天气发生前上游关键区大气层结稳定度状态,为预报员决策提供有效的辅助信息。  相似文献   

排桩内支撑基坑典型失稳原因及处理对策分析          下载免费PDF全文

虞利军  王茸  陈敏军 《探矿工程》2014,41(6):77-79

排桩内支撑支护结构是软土地区建筑工程中常用的一种基坑支护结构型式。从设计和施工2方面对影响排桩内支撑支护结构稳定的因素进行了分析,并结合某基坑工程破坏实例,对排桩内支撑支护结构典型失稳原因进行了分析探讨,提出了处理对策。开挖结果表明处理措施安全有效。  相似文献   

Bayesian area-to-point kriging using expert knowledge as informative priors     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2014

Area-to-point (ATP) kriging is a common geostatistical framework to address the problem of spatial disaggregation or downscaling from block support observations (BSO) to point support (PoS) predictions for continuous variables. This approach requires that the PoS variogram is known. Without PoS observations, the parameters of the PoS variogram cannot be deterministically estimated from BSO, and as a result, the PoS variogram parameters are uncertain. In this research, we used Bayesian ATP conditional simulation to estimate the PoS variogram parameters from expert knowledge and BSO, and quantify uncertainty of the PoS variogram parameters and disaggregation outcomes. We first clarified that the nugget parameter of the PoS variogram cannot be estimated from only BSO. Next, we used statistical expert elicitation techniques to elicit the PoS variogram parameters from expert knowledge. These were used as informative priors in a Bayesian inference of the PoS variogram from BSO and implemented using a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. ATP conditional simulation was done to obtain stochastic simulations at point support. MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) atmospheric temperature profile data were used in an illustrative example. The outcomes from the Bayesian ATP inference for the Matérn variogram model parameters confirmed that the posterior distribution of the nugget parameter was effectively the same as its prior distribution; for the other parameters, the uncertainty was substantially decreased when BSO were introduced to the Bayesian ATP estimator. This confirmed that expert knowledge brought new information to infer the nugget effect at PoS while BSO only brought new information to infer the other parameters. Bayesian ATP conditional simulations provided a satisfactory way to quantify parameters and model uncertainty propagation through spatial disaggregation.  相似文献   

Spatial pattern formation of a ratio-dependent predator—prey model     

林望 《海洋学报(英文版)》2010,29(9)

This paper presents a theoretical analysis of evolutionary process that involves organisms distribution and their interaction of spatially distributed population with diffusion in a Holling-III ratio-dependent predator--prey model, the sufficient conditions for diffusion-driven instability with Neumann boundary conditions are obtained. Furthermore, it presents novel numerical evidence of time evolution of patterns controlled by diffusion in the model, and finds that the model dynamics exhibits complex pattern replication, and the pattern formation depends on the choice of the initial conditions. The ideas in this paper may provide a better understanding of the pattern formation in ecosystems.  相似文献   

A benchmark comparison of numerical methods for infinite Prandtl number thermal convection in two-dimensional Cartesian geometry     

B. J. Travis  C. Anderson  J. Baumgardner  C. W. Gable  B. H. Hager  R. J. O'Connell 《地球物理与天体物理流体动力学》2013,107(3-4):137-160

Abstract

A comparison is made between seven different numerical methods for calculating two-dimensional thermal convection in an infinite Prandtl number fluid. Among the seven methods are finite difference and finite element techniques that have been used to model thermal convection in the Earth's mantle. We evaluate the performance of each method using a suite of four benchmark problems, ranging from steady-state convection to intrinsically time-dependent convection with recurring thermal boundary layer instabilities. These results can be used to determine the accuracy of other computational methods, and to assist in the development of new ones.  相似文献   

Effective block diagonal preconditioners for Biot's consolidation equations in piled‐raft foundations     

K. B. Chaudhary  K. K. Phoon  K. C. Toh 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2013,37(8):871-892

The finite element (FE) simulation of large‐scale soil–structure interaction problems (e.g. piled‐raft, tunnelling, and excavation) typically involves structural and geomaterials with significant differences in stiffness and permeability. The symmetric quasi‐minimal residual solver coupled with recently developed generalized Jacobi, modified symmetric successive over‐relaxation (MSSOR), or standard incomplete LU factorization (ILU) preconditioners can be ineffective for this class of problems. Inexact block diagonal preconditioners that are inexpensive approximations of the theoretical form are systematically evaluated for mitigating the coupled adverse effects because of such heterogeneous material properties (stiffness and permeability) and because of the percentage of the structural component in the system in piled‐raft foundations. Such mitigation led the proposed preconditioners to offer a significant saving in runtime (up to more than 10 times faster) in comparison with generalized Jacobi, modified symmetric successive over‐relaxation, and ILU preconditioners in simulating piled‐raft foundations. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

静力平衡近似下大气中非线性对称运动的稳定性、分岔和突变     

彭晓林  罗德海 《成都信息工程学院学报》1991,(Z1)

本文在考虑基本气流具有非线性切变情况下,导出了对称运动所满足的非线性常微分方程,并用非线性系统的稳定、分岔、突变理论,严格地讨论了非线性对称运动的稳定性、分岔和突变问题,获得了一个推广的对称不稳定判据,找到了突变产生的条件。  相似文献   

An explanation of the dimensions of penumbral filaments     

Zhou Dao-qi 《Chinese Astronomy and Astrophysics》1991,15(4):453-460

Unstable pertubation modes exist in the magnetic field of penumbral electric current and I think the penumbral filaments are formed from the development of such modes. Under the short wave approximation the non-adiabatic dispersion equation is solved in the radial and transverse directions of the sunspot. From the condition of instability the length and width of the penumbral filament can be evaluated and it is found that the filament mode is static in the direction of the length and is non-moving in the direction of the width, that the penumbral filaments are a feature of the sunspot magnetic flow under gravity and that the presence of the filaments implies the existence of a twisted magnetic field.  相似文献   

Plasma instability at the inner edge of the accretion disk—I     

S. C. Tripathy  C. B. Dwivedi  A. C. Das  A. R. Prasanna 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》1993,14(2):103-114

In this paper, the analytical and numerical results of the stability analysis of the accretion disk at the inner boundary is presented. Including the effect of finite conductivity in the disk dynamics, a simple calculation considering only the radial perturbation has been carried out. Within local approximation, it is concluded that the disk is stable to Kelvin-Helmholtz and resistive electromagnetic modes whereas the magnetosonic mode can destabilise the disk structure.  相似文献   

Plasma instability at the inner edge of the accretion disk— II     

S. C. Tripathy  C. B. Dwivedi  A. C. Das  A. R. Prasanna 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》1993,14(3-4):167-179

A two-dimensional instability analysis for a magneto-keplerian disk flow around a compact object is presented here. Using the eigenvalue technique, linearly coupled perturbed equations have been numerically solved within the local approximation. It is concluded that Kelvin-Helmholtz, magnetosonic (fast and slow) and resistive electromagnetic modes exist. However, only the magnetosonic mode can destabilise the disk structure. Further, we discuss the properties of different modes as a function of disk parameters and plot the eigenmode structures for different physical quantities.  相似文献